Insights

The €800B Moment: Europe’s Defence Flywheel Is Now in Motion

December 10, 2025

Alain Gavin

Alain Gavin

Managing Partner - Chief Investment Officer

Europe’s defence industrial base is no longer preparing for scale-up  it has entered it.

For the first time in decades, public policy, sovereign instruments, and private capital are moving in alignment to rebuild Europe’s defence and security capacity. What was once fragmented is now forming a flywheel.

A recent analysis by Laurence Bottero in La Tribune (“Défense : comment acteurs publics et privés s’accordent pour financer sa montée en puissance”, 8 December 2025) captures just how fast this shift is happening and why dual-use innovation now sits at the core of Europe’s sovereignty strategy.

The Numbers Behind the Shift

France alone has committed €413B through 2030, with its 2026 defence budget up +13% to €57.1B.

Across the EU, up to €800B in combined public and private financing is expected to be mobilised by the end of the decade.

This is not cyclical spending.
It is structural re-armament.

What’s Changing on the Ground

Bottero’s article highlights several inflection points:
4,500+ companies form France’s defence ecosystem, supporting 220,000 jobs and €30B in annual turnover yet many SMEs remain undercapitalised and fragile.
Acquisition budgets are rising 37% to €22.9B, reflecting urgent pressure for faster equipment delivery.
Regions like Provence-Alpes-Côte d’Azur are becoming gateways to EU defence programmes, redirecting structural funds toward strategic industries.
The European Investment Bank has lifted long-standing restrictions, now financing €15–20M defence-sector projects — a major policy shift.
Bpifrance is expanding both working-capital solutions and equity, notably through its dedicated Bpifrance Défense fund.
The signal is unmistakable:
Europe is activating every available lever — public and private — to restore strategic autonomy.

Startups Are Central, Not Peripheral

One conclusion stands out:

Europe’s defence renaissance will be built with startups, not around them.

As Starburst Ventures notes, we are only at the beginning of a multi-year contract-market cycle that will define the next decade. Dual-use technologies designed with and for the forces are where strategic advantage will be created.

Technological superiority is no longer optional.
It is operational necessity.

Why This Matters for Karista

This is precisely where Karista is positioned.

Through K Tech II, currently raising, we invest at the intersection of:

Space
Defence
Security / Cybersecurity

Our Space, Defence & Security Fund, deploying from Q2 2026, focuses on dual-use technologies rooted in deep operational understanding of military and security needs.

What the article reinforces is what we see daily:
Public tools are opening
Private capital is mobilising
The timing is exceptional

The Bigger Picture

Europe’s sovereignty will not be declared.
It will be engineered.

And it will be built on dual-use innovation, resilient industrial bases, and founders who understand that defence is now a core pillar of Europe’s economic and strategic future.

This mission sits at the heart of Karista’s strategy.

Source: Laurence Bottero, La Tribune, 8 December 2025

What People Say About PSION

Alain went beyond imaginable limits with his ability and professional VC expertise to coordinate our fundraising activities at CyStellar. His capability to deeply understand our company’s vision and match it with the right investors was crucial in shortening the time to closing the investment.

Alain helped us with the investment strategy, corporate restructuring, pitch deck, building an investor funnel and following up with investors, supporting the due diligence process, term sheet negotiations and provide recommendation for legal, financial, and tax advisors.

He’s really made a difference in our start-up success to raise its first seed round!

I chose him to join our Board as independent Non-Executive Director where he continues to add value to the strategic direction of the company.

Peter Bunus

CEO and Co-Founder - CyStellar

It has been exceptional working with Alain over the past few months to develop Skyrora’s financial model and business plan. Alain quickly understood the key drivers of the business, and he was able to combine them with his deep knowledge of the investment industry to ensure our model is well received by investors. He paid detailed attention to intricacies, such as revenue recognition and worked hand-in-hand with us to resolve all difficulties. 

Alain went far beyond what was expected and put us on track to successfully close our funding round. I highly recommend him.


Victor Ivanenko

CFO – SKYRORA (Rocket company)

Alain carried out due diligence on a complex, fast moving business. He worked very long hours and his efforts exceeded the amount of time that was expected. 

He did a deeply researched analysis of the business involved and the sector that it was trading in, as a result of which we made an investment in the target company. In addition, he carried out due diligence on two other companies, a high technology business with several valuable patents based on the West Coast of the USA, and a company supplying communications solutions to the global railways sector. 

Alain and I are discussing several further opportunities of working together.


Simon Hunt

Fund manager

Alain possesses superior organisational, planning and interpersonal skills. As CEO of the business we began together, and as the primary partner in the enterprise, he demonstrated his ability to build and motivate a team, and guided the group towards creative goals and solutions. 

Alain involves others, encourages their strategies for finding solutions and secures maximum commitment from each team member. He also achieved good results when negotiating.

Personally, I find Alain to be a bright and engaging individual. He has a breath of international experience which I find particularly interesting and has a collegial manner which enables him to work effectively with others.

Michael Buxton

Co-investor & entrepreneur

Alain produced an Information Memorandum for Microbus for new investors, he was extremely diligent and picked up the complexity of what is a highly technical niche market very quickly. Market detail across Europe in the public safety market is limited but Alain managed to access detail that had previously been unattainable. 

He was also very knowledgeable in how to value this type of opportunity and tested these valuations from several directions. He was easy to work with but persistent in ensuring he produced the best possible results. I would recommend Alain to anyone requiring an in depth study of their business.

Reg Marsh

MD and COO in Growth & Turnaround businesses

It was a pleasure working with Mr. Gavin and observing his highly professional attitude and his remarkable energy and perseverance in the work he accomplished. He took initiative even on difficult issues to achieve needed results. His unique motivational drive and energy and collegial manner made him well accepted among those he worked with closely.

Dr. Roland Voigt

ex-CFO - SCHOTT AG

Alain is a wonderful person to work with. His support in Skyrora’s outreach to secure funding was invaluable. In countless calls, we worked out strategies together on how to approach investors. 

Alain always inspired me with his ideas and relentless energy to reach out to the right investors. He helped us to do a ground-up analysis of the competitive and market landscape and convince investors of the immense opportunity in the Space launch industry. 

I would warmly recommend him and am thrilled to have him on board and hope to work with him again to secure our next investment round.

Anfisa Anikushina

M&A, SpaceTech

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